The investigation of the agent in the artificial market

Takahiro Kitakubo, Yusuke Koyama, Hiroshi Deguchi

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the investment strategy in the artificial market called U-Mart, which is designed to provide a common test bed for researchers in the fields of economics and information sciences. UMIE is the international experiment of U-Mart as a contests of trading agents. We attended UMIE 2003 and 2004, and our agent won the championship in both experiments. We examin why this agent is strong in UMIE environment. The strategy of this agent is called "on-line learning" or "real-time learning". Concretely, the agent exploits and forecasts futures price fluctuations by means of identifying the environment in reinforcement learning. We examined an efficiency of price forecasting in the classified environment. To examine the efficacy of it, we executed experiments 1000 times with UMIE open-type simulation standard toolkits, and we verified that forecasting futures price fluctuation in our strategy is useful for better trading.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationLecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence (Subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
EditorsT.G. Kim
Pages215-223
Number of pages9
Volume3397
Publication statusPublished - 2005
Externally publishedYes
Event13th International Conference on AIS 2004 - Jeju Island, Korea, Republic of
Duration: 2004 Oct 42004 Oct 6

Other

Other13th International Conference on AIS 2004
CountryKorea, Republic of
CityJeju Island
Period04/10/404/10/6

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Keywords

  • Artificial Market
  • Reinforcement Learning
  • U-Mart

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Hardware and Architecture

Cite this

Kitakubo, T., Koyama, Y., & Deguchi, H. (2005). The investigation of the agent in the artificial market. In T. G. Kim (Ed.), Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence (Subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science) (Vol. 3397, pp. 215-223)